Studies and Reading
Structured learning through papers, notes, and bibliographies.
Current Topics
Mechanism Design
How to design rules so self-interested agents produce good outcomes. Foundation for Internal Token Economics.
Key authors: Hurwicz, Maskin, Myerson (Nobel 2007)
Core insight: “Reverse game theory” - instead of analyzing existing games, design rules to achieve desired outcomes.
Prediction Markets
Information aggregation through markets. Price discovery for beliefs. Foundation for Prediction Markets Measure Information.
Key author: Robin Hanson (LMSR inventor)
Core insight: Markets aggregate dispersed information into prices. Insider/outsider separation reveals information asymmetry.
Token Economics
Incentive design, internal pricing, resource allocation. The non-speculative parts.
Key concepts: Transfer pricing, platform economics, quality incentives.
Bayesian Inference
Uncertainty quantification. Foundation for mcbayes project.
Key text: McElreath “Statistical Rethinking”
Priority Reading
- Hanson (2002) - LMSR paper, foundational for market project
- Wolfers & Zitzewitz (2004) - Prediction markets survey
- Borgers (2015) - Mechanism design intro textbook
- McElreath (2020) - Statistical Rethinking (in progress)
Related
- Prediction Markets Measure Information - Prediction markets implementation
- Internal Token Economics - Token economics application
- Budget Constraints Drive Emergence - Budget constraints theory